Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.141882 0.168238 0.197808 0.233394 0.275015 0.322110 0.379396
2025-07-13 0.106857 0.141720 0.185073 0.242752 0.317273 0.410085 0.534212
2025-07-20 0.089761 0.129592 0.183116 0.259870 0.366620 0.509269 0.713688
2025-07-27 0.076530 0.118583 0.178845 0.270765 0.406548 0.598665 0.889757
2025-08-03 0.063982 0.105565 0.168641 0.270224 0.428398 0.663599 1.037578
2025-08-10 0.052374 0.091566 0.154202 0.260214 0.433387 0.702727 1.150000
2025-08-17 0.042710 0.078835 0.139454 0.246900 0.430365 0.727762 1.241686
2025-08-24 0.037445 0.072599 0.134247 0.248145 0.450495 0.790822 1.400101
2025-08-31 0.031790 0.064653 0.124797 0.240459 0.453930 0.825858 1.514567
2025-09-07 0.028538 0.060643 0.121741 0.243614 0.476471 0.895345 1.694970
2025-09-14 0.025466 0.056460 0.117704 0.244230 0.494118 0.957523 1.868132
2025-09-21 0.022340 0.051636 0.111700 0.240112 0.502029 1.002296 2.013244
2025-09-28 0.019453 0.047017 0.105802 0.236156 0.511292 1.053485 2.182018
2025-10-05 0.018079 0.045557 0.106349 0.245798 0.549586 1.165724 2.483450
2025-10-12 0.017425 0.045647 0.110248 0.263146 0.606090 1.320281 2.886193
2025-10-19 0.016353 0.044532 0.111257 0.274176 0.650293 1.454288 3.260824
2025-10-26 0.014658 0.041544 0.107464 0.273629 0.668714 1.536005 3.533880
2025-11-02 0.012643 0.037336 0.100085 0.263499 0.663898 1.566932 3.700331
2025-11-09 0.010743 0.033063 0.091852 0.250025 0.649355 1.574474 3.815391
2025-11-16 0.009784 0.031247 0.089616 0.251285 0.670433 1.664808 4.127290
2025-11-23 0.008555 0.028402 0.084207 0.243507 0.668045 1.700243 4.315299
2025-11-30 0.007901 0.027164 0.082982 0.246699 0.693916 1.805392 4.679141
2025-12-07 0.007221 0.025712 0.080929 0.247323 0.713146 1.896348 5.017740